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17 Predictions for AI in 2026

🔮 Exponential View’s year in review

The State Of LLMs 2025: Progress, Progress, and Predictions

2025: My Top 5 Favorite Interconnected Posts

🔮 Six mental models for working with AI

🧠 We are all spiky

🔮 Exponential View #555: Ukraine’s drone first; the China syndrome; the San Francisco Concensus; slop-timism, McKinsey cuts jobs & speech-to-reality++

📈 2025 in 25 stats

🔮 Reflecting on 2025, the year AI became real

The Future of Decentralized AI

AI in the United Arab Emirates

2025 Interconnects year in review

Waymo and Tesla’s self-driving systems are more similar than people think

The best Chinese open-weight models — and the strongest US rivals

📈 Data to start your week

2025 Open Models Year in Review

🔮 Exponential View #554: Intelligence gets cheaper. Adoption gets harder. Jet engines become power plants; tiny brain chips & emotional AI++

H200s Sale: China Reacts

Chinese AI in 2025, Wrapped

🌻 how to party like an AI researcher

EMERGENCY POD: Trump to Sell H200s to China

🔮 Exponential View #553: The story of 100 trillion tokens; China’s chip win; superhuman persuasion, Waymo ethics, Polymarket & hydrology++

Cloud War: the National Security Strategy Edition

📈 Data to start your week

👀 Did OpenAI’s $100 billion path just get narrower?

Helen Toner Takes the Reins at CSET

Google and Anthropic approach LLMs differently

🔮 The next 24 months in AI

Forward Deployed Engineer: the Job that Makes AI Real

A Technical Tour of the DeepSeek Models from V3 to V3.2

🔮 Ten things I’m thinking about AI | Part 4

🔮 Ten things I’m thinking about AI | Part 3

📈 Data to start your week

🔮 Ten things I’m thinking about AI | Part 2

🔮 Ten things I’m thinking about AI

🚀 Can AI escape Google’s gravity well?

From Race to Co-opetition

Six reasons to think there’s an AI bubble — and six reasons not to

Latest open artifacts (#16): Who's building models in the U.S., China's model release playbook, and a resurgence of truly open models

📈 Data to start your week

🔮 Exponential View #551: New frontiers for R&D; American open-source; Gemini 3 & Google's pull; breaking the thermal wall, Waymo expands, teens on marriage++

👀 The AI productivity paradox

The Z.ai Playbook

Olmo 3: America’s truly open reasoning model

An AI “tsunami” is coming for Hollywood — here’s how artists are responding

Waymo’s next five cities are all in red states

Productivity and jobs; the slop-economy; loving vapes++

📈 Data to start your week

Why AI writing is mid

🤔 Unpicking OpenAI’s real revenues

Kimi Kimi on the Wall

Waymo is finally ready for freeway service

Silicon Oasis: How Abu Dhabi Plays Both Sides of US-China

The Myth of China's "AI Talent Pipeline"

AI ads are going mainstream

AI Slopaganda in the KMT Election

Opening the black box of character training

Interview: Ant Group's open model ambitions

🌻 don't take the bait

(Understanding AI) Context rot: the emerging challenge that could hold back LLM progress

(Exponential View) 📈 Data to start your week

(Exponential View) 🔮 The infinite-compute economy has already started

The WeChat AI Field Guide

5 Thoughts on Kimi K2 Thinking

Sovereign AI with South Korean Characteristics

(Interconnects) Recapping Open Models in 2025

(Ahead of AI) Beyond Standard LLMs

(Understanding AI) Tech leaders insist there is no AI bubble

(Exponential View) 📈 Data to start your week

(Exponential View) 📈 The AI dashboard

16 charts that explain the AI boom

Will Eatherton: How Cisco Plans to Compete in the AI Datacenter

Inside China’s Giant AGI Wiki

🌻 AI friends too cheap to meter

(Exponential View) 📈 Data to start your week